AI incident #54 ·

Predictive Policing Biases of PredPol

Open on the AI Incident Database 17 news reports Synced from the AIID API · record last edited 3 Sep 2026

What happened

Predictive policing algorithms meant to aid law enforcement by predicting future crime show signs of biased output.

Only the incident metadata is stored here. The underlying news reports are on the AI Incident Database (CC BY-SA 4.0); use the links above to read them.

News reports (13)

Coverage catalogued by the AI Incident Database. Titles link to the original publisher; the text is not reproduced here.

  1. Be Cautious About Data-Driven Policing
    nytimes.com · Seeta Peña Gangadharan, Andrew Papachristos · AIID #1010
  2. Policing the Future
    themarshallproject.org · Whitney Curtis · AIID #1007
  3. Machine Bias
    propublica.org · Julia Angwin, Jeff Larson, Surya Mattu · AIID #1349
  4. Why Oakland Police Turned Down Predictive Policing
    motherboard.vice.com · Emily Thomas · AIID #1015
  5. The Truth About Predictive Policing and Race
    theappeal.org · Andrew Guthrie Ferguson, William C. Anderson, Amelia Mcdonell-Parry · AIID #1019

Who was involved

Alleged developer
PredPol
On AIID: PredPol
Alleged harmed party
Oakland Residents
On AIID: Oakland Residents

AI systems implicated

AI-enabled decision support systems

Classification (MIT AI Risk Repository taxonomy)

Causal entity
AI
Intent
Unintentional
Timing
Post-deployment
Harm level
none
Sectors
law enforcement
Countries
US

Risk entries describing this failure mode

Entries from the MIT AI Risk Repository coded to subdomain 1.1.

  • Discrimination

    "Discrimination - Unfair or inadequate treatment or arbitrary distinction based on a person’s race, ethnicity, age, gender, sexual preference, religion, national origin, marital status, disability, language, or other pro...

    A Collaborative, Human-Centred Taxonomy of AI, Algorithmic, and Automation Harms (Abercrombie2024)

  • Harms of Representation and Other Biases

    "A pretrained LLM generally has many of the stereotypical biases commonly present in the human society (Touvron et al., 2023). This makes it difficult for users to trust that LLMs will work well for them and not produce...

    Foundational Challenges in Assuring Alignment and Safety of Large Language Models (Anwar2024)

  • Risks from bias and underrepresentation

    "The outputs and impacts of general- purpose AI systems can be biased with respect to various aspects of human identity, including race, gender, culture, age, and disability. This creates risks in high- stakes domains su...

    International Scientific Report on the Safety of Advanced AI (Bengio2024)

  • Bias

    "General-purpose AI systems can amplify social and political biases, causing concrete harm. They frequently display biases with respect to race, gender, culture, age, disability, political opinion, or other aspects of hu...

    International AI Safety Report 2025 (Bengio2025)

  • Bias

    "The training datasets of LLMs may contain biased information that leads LLMs to generate outputs with social biases"

    Risk Taxonomy, Mitigation, and Assessment Benchmarks of Large Language Model Systems (Cui2024)

  • Toxicity and Bias Tendencies

    "Extensive data collection in LLMs brings toxic content and stereotypical bias into the training data."

    Risk Taxonomy, Mitigation, and Assessment Benchmarks of Large Language Model Systems (Cui2024)

  • Biased Training Data

    "Compared with the definition of toxicity, the definition of bias is more subjective and contextdependent. Based on previous work [97], [101], we describe the bias as disparities that could raise demographic differences...

    Risk Taxonomy, Mitigation, and Assessment Benchmarks of Large Language Model Systems (Cui2024)

  • Broken systems

    "These are the most mentioned cases. They refer to situations where the algorithm or the training data lead to unreliable outputs. These systems frequently assign disproportionate weight to some variables, like race or g...

    Navigating the Landscape of AI Ethics and Responsibility (Cunha2023)

Linked by AIID editors or by its text-similarity model.

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