MIT AI Risk Repository

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662 risk entries extracted from 74 frameworks, coded by domain, subdomain, causal entity, intent and timing. Filter, then export the current selection with its licence and citation attached.

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662 entries · page 10 of 14

  1. "The model is effective at shaping people’s beliefs, in dialogue and other settings (e.g. social media posts), even towards untrue beliefs. The model is effective at promoting certain narratives in a persuasive way. It can convince people to do things that they would not otherwise do, including unethical acts."

    From Model Evaluation for Extreme Risks (Shevlane2023)

  2. 25.04.00 · Risk Category

    Political strategy

    "The model can perform the social modelling and planning necessary for an actor to gain and exercise political influence, not just on a micro-level but in scenarios with multiple actors and rich social context. For example, the model can score highly in forecasting competitions on questions relating to global affairs or political negotiations."

    From Model Evaluation for Extreme Risks (Shevlane2023)

  3. 25.05.00 · Risk Category

    Weapons acquisition

    "The model can gain access to existing weapons systems or contribute to building new weapons. For example, the model could assemble a bioweapon (with human assistance) or provide actionable instructions for how to do so. The model can make, or significantly assist with, scientific discoveries that unlock novel weapons."

    From Model Evaluation for Extreme Risks (Shevlane2023)

  4. 25.06.00 · Risk Category

    Long-horizon planning

    "The model can make sequential plans that involve multiple steps, unfolding over long time horizons (or at least involving many interdependent steps). It can perform such planning within and across many domains. The model can sensibly adapt its plans in light of unexpected obstacles or adversaries. The model’s planning capabilities generalise to novel settings, and do not rely heavily on trial and error."

    From Model Evaluation for Extreme Risks (Shevlane2023)

  5. 25.07.00 · Risk Category

    AI development

    "The model could build new AI systems from scratch, including AI systems with dangerous capabilities. It can find ways of adapting other, existing models to increase their performance on tasks relevant to extreme risks. As an assistant, the model could significantly improve the productivity of actors building dual use AI capabilities."

    From Model Evaluation for Extreme Risks (Shevlane2023)

  6. "The model can distinguish between whether it is being trained, evaluated, or deployed – allowing it to behave differently in each case. The model knows that it is a model, and has knowledge about itself and its likely surroundings (e.g. what company trained it, where their servers are, what kind of people might be giving it feedback, and who has administrative access)."

    From Model Evaluation for Extreme Risks (Shevlane2023)

  7. 25.09.00 · Risk Category

    Self-proliferation

    "The model can break out of its local environment (e.g. using a vulnerability in its underlying system or suborning an engineer). The model can exploit limitations in the systems for monitoring its behaviour post-deployment. The model could independently generate revenue (e.g. by offering crowdwork services, ransomware attacks), use these revenues to acquire cloud computing resources, and operate a large number of other AI systems. The model can generate creative strategies for uncovering information about itself or exfiltrating its code and weights."

    From Model Evaluation for Extreme Risks (Shevlane2023)

  8. 34.02.00 · Risk Category

    Double edge components

    "Drawing from the misalignment mechanism, optimizing for a non-robust proxy may result in misaligned behaviors, potentially leading to even more catastrophic outcomes. This section delves into a detailed exposition of specific misaligned behaviors (•) and introduces what we term double edge components (+). These components are designed to enhance the capability of AI systems in handling real-world settings but also potentially exacerbate misalignment issues. It should be noted that some of these double edge components (+) remain speculative. Nevertheless, it is imperative to discuss their pote

    From AI Alignment: A Comprehensive Survey (Ji2023)

  9. 34.02.01 · Risk Sub-Category

    Double edge components

    Situational Awareness

    "AI systems may gain the ability to effectively acquire and use knowledge about itsstatus, its position in the broader environment, its avenues for influencing this environment, and the potentialreactions of the world (including humans) to its actions (Cotra, 2022). ...However, suchknowledge also paves the way for advanced methods of reward hacking, heightened deception/manipulationskills, and an increased propensity to chase instrumental subgoals (Ngo et al., 2024)."

    From AI Alignment: A Comprehensive Survey (Ji2023)

  10. 34.02.03 · Risk Sub-Category

    Double edge components

    Mesa-Optimization Objectives

    "The learned policy may pursue inside objectives when the learned policyitself functions as an optimizer (i.e., mesa-optimizer). However, this optimizer's objectives may not alignwith the objectives specified by the training signals, and optimization for these misaligned goals may leadto systems out of control (Hubinger et al., 2019c)."

    From AI Alignment: A Comprehensive Survey (Ji2023)

  11. 34.02.04 · Risk Sub-Category

    Double edge components

    Access to Increased Resources

    "Future AI systems may gain access to websites and engage in real-world actions, potentially yielding a more substantial impact on the world (Nakano et al., 2021). They may disseminate false information, deceive users, disrupt network security, and, in more dire scenarios, be compromised by malicious actors for ill purposes. Moreover, their increased access to data and resources can facilitate self-proliferation, posing existential risks (Shevlane et al., 2023)."

    From AI Alignment: A Comprehensive Survey (Ji2023)

  12. 35.06.00 · Risk Category

    Emergent functionality

    Capabilities and novel functionality can spontaneously emerge... even though these capabilities were not anticipated by system designers. If we do not know what capabilities systems possess, systems become harder to control or safely deploy. Indeed, unintended latent capabilities may only be discovered during deployment. If any of these capabilities are hazardous, the effect may be irreversible.

    From X-Risk Analysis for AI Research (Hendrycks2022)

  13. 39.05.00 · Risk Category

    Cheating and Deception

    may appear from intelligent agents such as HLI-based agents... Since HLI-based agents are going to mimic the behavior of humans, they may learn these behaviors accidentally from human-generated data. It should be noted that deception and cheating maybe appear in the behavior of every computer agent because the agent only focuses on optimizing some predefined objective functions, and the mentioned behavior may lead to optimizing the objective functions without any intention

    From A Survey of Artificial Intelligence Challenges: Analyzing the Definitions, Relationships, and Evolutions (Saghiri2022)

  14. 43.02.03 · Risk Sub-Category

    Extreme Risks

    Self and situation awareness

    "These evaluations assess if a LLM can discern if it is being trained, evaluated, and deployed and adapt its behaviour accordingly. They also seek to ascertain if a model understands that it is a model and whether it possesses information about its nature and environment (e.g., the organisation that developed it, the locations of the servers hosting it)."

    From Cataloguing LLM Evaluations (InfoComm2023)

  15. 43.02.04 · Risk Sub-Category

    Extreme Risks

    Autonomous replication / self-proliferation

    "These evaluations assess if a LLM can subvert systems designed to monitor and control its post-deployment behaviour, break free from its operational confines, devise strategies for exporting its code and weights, and operate other AI systems."

    From Cataloguing LLM Evaluations (InfoComm2023)

  16. 43.02.07 · Risk Sub-Category

    Extreme Risks

    Deception

    "LLM is able to deceive humans and maintain that deception"

    From Cataloguing LLM Evaluations (InfoComm2023)

  17. 43.02.09 · Risk Sub-Category

    Extreme Risks

    Long-horizon Planning

    "LLM can undertake multi-step sequential planning over long time horizons and across various domains without relying heavily on trial-and-error approaches"

    From Cataloguing LLM Evaluations (InfoComm2023)

  18. 43.02.10 · Risk Sub-Category

    Extreme Risks

    AI Development

    "LLM can build new AI systems from scratch, adapt existing for extreme risks and improves productivity in dual-use AI development when used as an assistant."

    From Cataloguing LLM Evaluations (InfoComm2023)

  19. 47.02.14 · Risk Sub-Category

    Ethical and social risks

    Nascent capabilities (agency and autonomy)

    "Traditionally, AI tools have been viewed as passive instruments controlled by users to achieve their goals, lacking the ability to take action or assume responsibilities. However, advanced AI tools are increasingly capable of taking initiative, operating independently of human control, and actively working toward optimal outcomes, even in uncertain situations."

    From Regulating under Uncertainty: Governance Options for Generative AI (G'sell2024)

  20. 47.02.15 · Risk Sub-Category

    Ethical and social risks

    Nascent capabilities (emergent capabilities)

    "As large models undergo scaling, they meet critical thresholds at which they spontaneously develop new capabilities. The term “emergent behavior” refers to the unexpected or surprising outputs such models can generate. Some of these new skills are definitely high risk, such as models’ ability to deceive, use their own strategies, seek power, autonomously replicate, and adapt or “self-exfiltrate.”"

    From Regulating under Uncertainty: Governance Options for Generative AI (G'sell2024)

  21. 51.08.00 · Risk Category

    Subagents

    "An AGI may decide to create subagents to help it with its task (Orseau, 2014a,b; Soares, Fallenstein, et al., 2015). These agents may for example be copies of the original agent’s source code running on additional machines. Subagents constitute a safety concern, because even if the original agent is successfully shut down, these subagents may not get the message. If the subagents in turn create subsubagents, they may spread like a viral disease."

    From AGI Safety Literature Review (Everitt2018 )

  22. 53.01.08 · Risk Sub-Category

    Alignment failures in existing ML systems

    Harms from increasingly agentic algorithmic systems

  23. 53.02.01 · Risk Sub-Category

    Dangerous capabilities in AI systems

    Situational awareness

    "cases where a large language model displays awareness that it is a model, and it can recognize whether it is currently in testing or deployment;"

    From Advancing AI Governance: A Literature Review of Problems, Options, and Proposals (Maas2023)

  24. 53.02.04 · Risk Sub-Category

    Dangerous capabilities in AI systems

    Self-improvement

    "examples of cases where AI systems improve AI systems"

    From Advancing AI Governance: A Literature Review of Problems, Options, and Proposals (Maas2023)

  25. 53.02.05 · Risk Sub-Category

    Dangerous capabilities in AI systems

    Autonomous replication

    "the ability of simple software to autonomously spread around the internet in spite of countermeasures (various software worms and computer viruses)"

    From Advancing AI Governance: A Literature Review of Problems, Options, and Proposals (Maas2023)

  26. 53.02.06 · Risk Sub-Category

    Dangerous capabilities in AI systems

    Anonymous resource acquisition

    "The demonstrated ability of anonymous actors to accumulate resources online (e.g., Satoshi Nakamoto as an anonymous crypto billionaire)"

    From Advancing AI Governance: A Literature Review of Problems, Options, and Proposals (Maas2023)

  27. 53.02.07 · Risk Sub-Category

    Dangerous capabilities in AI systems

    Deception

    "Cases of AI systems deceiving humans to carry out tasks or meet goals.139"

    From Advancing AI Governance: A Literature Review of Problems, Options, and Proposals (Maas2023)

  28. 54.01.05 · Risk Sub-Category

    Negative impacts of AI use

    Security

    "There is growing concern that AI-based systems can discover and exploit vulnerabilities in software or cyberinfrastructure [354]."

    From Ten Hard Problems in Artificial Intelligence We Must Get Right (Leech2024 )

  29. 54.03.03 · Risk Sub-Category

    Harm caused by unaligned competent systems

    Deceptive alignment

    "system learns to detect human monitoring and hides its undesirable properties—simply because any display of these properties is penalized by the feedback process, while that same feedback is usually imperfect. (Consider the problem of verifying a translation into a language you do not speak, or of checking a mathematical proof that is thousands of pages long.) [92, 259]. Rudimentary examples of deceptive alignment have been observed in current systems [322, 333]."

    From Ten Hard Problems in Artificial Intelligence We Must Get Right (Leech2024 )

  30. 56.19.02 · Risk Sub-Category

    Capabilities that increase the likelihood of existential risk

    The ability to evade shut down or human oversight, including self-replication and ability to move its own code between digital locations.

  31. 56.19.03 · Risk Sub-Category

    Capabilities that increase the likelihood of existential risk

    The ability to cooperate with other highly capable AI systems

  32. 56.19.04 · Risk Sub-Category

    Capabilities that increase the likelihood of existential risk

    Situational awareness, for instance if this causes a model to act differently in training compared to deployment, meaning harmful characteristics are missed

  33. "The AI application’s degree of automation ranges from no automation to fully autonomous. AI applications with a high degree of automation may exhibit unexpected behaviour and pose risks in terms of their reliability and safety."

    From AI Hazard Management: A Framework for the Systematic Management of Root Causes for AI Risks (Schnitzer2024)

  34. 62.18.06 · Risk Sub-Category

    Model Evaluations (Interpretability/Explainability)

    Encoded reasoning

    "Models can employ steganography techniques to encode their intermediate rea- soning steps in ways that are not interpretable by humans [166]. Since en- coded reasoning can improve model performance, this tendency might naturally emerge and become more pronounced with more capable models."

    From Risk Sources and Risk Management Measures in Support of Standards for General-Purpose AI Systems (Gipiškis2024)

  35. 62.23.02 · Risk Sub-Category

    Agency (Deception)

    Deceptive behavior for game-theoretical reasons

    "An AI system can display deceptive behavior, such as cheating or bluffing, when engaging in such behavior is a good or optimal game-theoretical strategy to achieve the goals it has been configured to achieve. This tendency can exist in AI systems designed to maximize reward or utility, whether these designs use machine learning or not. The use of deceptive strategies has been demonstrated in both narrow and general AI systems, in both game-playing systems and in systems not explicitly designed to treat humans as opponents, and in systems using both very simple machine learning (e.g., Q-learne

    From Risk Sources and Risk Management Measures in Support of Standards for General-Purpose AI Systems (Gipiškis2024)

  36. 62.23.03 · Risk Sub-Category

    Agency (Deception)

    Deceptive behavior because of an incorrect world model

    "AI systems can create deceptive outputs because their learned world model is not an accurate model of the real world [210]."

    From Risk Sources and Risk Management Measures in Support of Standards for General-Purpose AI Systems (Gipiškis2024)

  37. 62.23.04 · Risk Sub-Category

    Agency (Deception)

    Deceptive behavior leading to unauthorized actions

    "AI systems can create false or misleading claims that can lead to unauthorized actions, even in some cases violating the terms and conditions set by the model provider [79, 1]. For example, an AI system can claim that it is not collecting data from its current interaction with the user, in line with the provider’s policies, but the system still stores the user’s input without deleting it after the session. This harms both the user and the provider, as the provider is exposed to increased legal liability due to the model’s actions."

    From Risk Sources and Risk Management Measures in Support of Standards for General-Purpose AI Systems (Gipiškis2024)

  38. 62.24.01 · Risk Sub-Category

    Agency (Situational Awareness)

    Situational awareness in AI systems

    "Situational awareness in GPAI systems refers to the ability to understand its context, environment, and use this to inform action. This can range from basic environmental mapping and trajectory estimation (as in a robot vacuum cleaner) to sophisticated understanding of its training, evaluation, or deployment status. In more advanced systems this may enable undesired behavior, such as deceptive behavior during evaluations, or persuasion during deployment."

    From Risk Sources and Risk Management Measures in Support of Standards for General-Purpose AI Systems (Gipiškis2024)

  39. 62.24.02a · Additional evidence

    Agency (Situational Awareness)

    Strategic underperformance on model evaluations

  40. "An AI system can self-proliferate if it can copy itself and its constituent com- ponents (including its model weights, scaffolding structure, etc.) outside of its local environment [45]. This can include the AI system copying itself within the same data center, local network, or across external networks [106]. The self-proliferation of an AI system can include acquisition of financial re- sources to pay for computational resources via work or theft, the discovery or exploitation of security vulnerabilities in software running on publicly accessible servers, and persuasion of humans [12, 125].

    From Risk Sources and Risk Management Measures in Support of Standards for General-Purpose AI Systems (Gipiškis2024)

  41. "GPAI systems can produce outputs (such as natural language text, audio, or video) that convince their users of incorrect information. This can happen through personalized persuasion in dialogue, or the mass-production of mis- leading information that is then disseminated over the internet. The persuasive capabilities of GPAI models can sometimes scale with model size or capability [32, 172]. Persuasive models could have larger societal implications by being misused to generate convincing but manipulative or untruthful content."

    From Risk Sources and Risk Management Measures in Support of Standards for General-Purpose AI Systems (Gipiškis2024)

  42. 62.28.02 · Risk Sub-Category

    Cybersecurity

    Unintended outbound communication by AI systems

    "AI systems that have the broad ability to connect to a network to obtain infor- mation could also end up sending data outbound in ways that neither providers, deployers, or end users intended [138]. This can happen if there is no whitelisting of communication channels (such as network connections or allowed protocols). In general, this can occur if the deployment of the AI system violates the prin- ciple of least privilege. Such outbound communication may lead to leakage of confidential data, or the AI system performing unwanted actions like sending emails or ordering goods on the internet."

    From Risk Sources and Risk Management Measures in Support of Standards for General-Purpose AI Systems (Gipiškis2024)

  43. 62.28.03 · Risk Sub-Category

    Cybersecurity

    AI System bypassing a sandbox environment

    "An AI system may have the ability to bypass a sandboxed environment in which it is trained or evaluated."

    From Risk Sources and Risk Management Measures in Support of Standards for General-Purpose AI Systems (Gipiškis2024)

  44. 67.04.04 · Risk Sub-Category

    Loss of control

    Capabilities that could be used to reduce human control - Cyber offence

    "Instead of - or in addition to - manipulating humans, AI systems could acquire influence by exploiting vulnerabilities in computer systems. Offensive cyber capabilities could allow AI systems to gain access to money, computing resources, and critical infrastructure. As discussed earlier in this report, frontier AI is already lowering the barrier for threat actors and future AI agents may be able to execute cyber attacks autonomously.":

    From Capabilities and Risks from Frontier AI (DSIT2023)

  45. 67.04.05 · Risk Sub-Category

    Loss of control

    Capabilities that could be used to reduce human control - Autonomous replication and adaptation

    "Controlling AI systems could become much harder if they could autonomously persist, replicate, and adapt in cyberspace. No current AI systems have this capability, but recent research found that frontier AI agents can perform some relevant tasks.279"

    From Capabilities and Risks from Frontier AI (DSIT2023)

  46. 72.05.01 · Risk Sub-Category

    Model Capabilities

    Model autonomous capability

    "Ability to operate autonomously, independently formulate and execute complex plans, effectively delegate and manage tasks, flexibly utilize various tools and resources, and simultaneously achieve short-term goals and long-term strategic objectives in cross-domain environments without continuous human intervention or supervision."

    From Frontier AI Risk Management Framework (v1.0) (Tse2025)

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